Megatrends 2030 with the UAE Government
December 10, 2019 at The Prime Minister's Office, Dubai, UAE
1. Making sense of our changing world
– Trends: from weak signals to dramatic disrupters, in every region, every sector
– Shifts: from old world to new world, crossing the chasms, harnessing the trends
– Impacts: from economic to social, risks and rewards, defining why does it matter
2. Harnessing the trends for innovation and growth
– Future Back: creating tomorrow beyond today, managing portfolios and projects
– Outside in: insight with ideas, aspirations and expectations, business and society
– Fast Forwards: turning ideas into practical action, through enlightened innovation
3. Leading the future, turning trends into business success
– Cause: having a purpose beyond profit, to go further and faster to the future
– Collaboration: from ecosystems to communities, achieving much more together
– Courage: leaders who dare to shape the future, a better future, in their own vision
Future State 2030 is a report by KPMG which identifies nine global megatrends that are most salient to the future of governments. While they are highly interrelated, the megatrends can broadly be grouped into trends reflecting changes in the status and expectations of individuals, changes in the global economy and changes in the physical environment.
Higher life expectancy and falling birth rates are increasing the proportion of elderly people across the world, challenging the solvency of social welfare systems, including pensions and healthcare. Some regions are also facing the challenge of integrating large youth populations into saturated labor markets.
Rise of the individual
Advances in global education, health and technology have helped empower individuals like never before, leading to increased demands for transparency and participation in government and public decision- making. These changes will continue, and are ushering in a new era in human history in which, by 2022, more people will be middle class than poor.
Information and communications technology (ICT) has transformed society over the last 30 years. A new wave of technological advances is now creating novel opportunities, while testing governments’ ability to harness their benefits and provide prudent oversight.
The interconnected global economy will see a continued increase in the levels of international trade and capital flows, but unless international conventions can be strengthened, progress and optimum economic benefits may not be realized.
Economic power shift
Emerging economies are lifting millions out of poverty while also exerting more influence in the global economy. With a rebalancing of global power, both international institutions and national governments will need a greater focus on maintaining their transparency and inclusiveness.
Rising greenhouse gas emissions are causing climate change and driving a complex mix of unpredictable changes to the environment while further taxing the resilience of natural and built systems. Achieving the right combination of adaptation and mitigation policies will be difficult for most governments.
The combined pressures of population growth, economic growth and climate change will place increased stress on essential natural resources (including water, food, arable land and energy). These issues will place sustainable resource management at the center of government agendas.
Almost two-thirds of the world’s population will reside in cities by 2030. Urbanization is creating significant opportunities for social and economic development and more sustainable living, but is also exerting pressure on infrastructure and resources, particularly energy.